WO2004111770A3 - Systems, methods and computer program products for modeling uncertain future benefits - Google Patents

Systems, methods and computer program products for modeling uncertain future benefits Download PDF

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Publication number
WO2004111770A3
WO2004111770A3 PCT/US2004/017258 US2004017258W WO2004111770A3 WO 2004111770 A3 WO2004111770 A3 WO 2004111770A3 US 2004017258 W US2004017258 W US 2004017258W WO 2004111770 A3 WO2004111770 A3 WO 2004111770A3
Authority
WO
WIPO (PCT)
Prior art keywords
time
future benefits
systems
computer program
methods
Prior art date
Application number
PCT/US2004/017258
Other languages
French (fr)
Other versions
WO2004111770A2 (en
Inventor
Scott H Mathews
Vinay T Datar
Christopher A Forgie
Original Assignee
Boeing Co
Priority date (The priority date is an assumption and is not a legal conclusion. Google has not performed a legal analysis and makes no representation as to the accuracy of the date listed.)
Filing date
Publication date
Application filed by Boeing Co filed Critical Boeing Co
Priority to JP2006515063A priority Critical patent/JP2007526529A/en
Priority to EP04753973A priority patent/EP1636667A4/en
Publication of WO2004111770A2 publication Critical patent/WO2004111770A2/en
Publication of WO2004111770A3 publication Critical patent/WO2004111770A3/en

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Classifications

    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/08—Logistics, e.g. warehousing, loading or distribution; Inventory or stock management
    • G06Q10/087—Inventory or stock management, e.g. order filling, procurement or balancing against orders
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q40/00—Finance; Insurance; Tax strategies; Processing of corporate or income taxes

Abstract

Systems, methods and computer program products are provided for modeling future benefits. According to the method, modeling future benefits begins by defining a growth rate for the good for each time segment of a period of time, where the period of time includes a plurality of time segments. An uncertainty for the good is then determined for each time segment. Next, a benefit distribution is determined at an end of each time segment based upon the growth rate and uncertainty for the respective time segment. Finally, a benefit value is selected at the end of each time segment by randomly selecting each benefit value based upon a respective benefit distribution to thereby model future benefits over the period of time. The method therefore allows the growth rate and/or the uncertainty to very between time segments. The method can also account for contingencies at the end of previous time segments.
PCT/US2004/017258 2003-06-03 2004-06-01 Systems, methods and computer program products for modeling uncertain future benefits WO2004111770A2 (en)

Priority Applications (2)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
JP2006515063A JP2007526529A (en) 2003-06-03 2004-06-01 System, method and computer program product for modeling uncertain future benefits
EP04753973A EP1636667A4 (en) 2003-06-03 2004-06-01 Systems, methods and computer program products for modeling uncertain future benefits

Applications Claiming Priority (2)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
US10/453,396 2003-06-03
US10/453,396 US20040249642A1 (en) 2003-06-03 2003-06-03 Systems, methods and computer program products for modeling uncertain future benefits

Publications (2)

Publication Number Publication Date
WO2004111770A2 WO2004111770A2 (en) 2004-12-23
WO2004111770A3 true WO2004111770A3 (en) 2009-04-16

Family

ID=33489535

Family Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
PCT/US2004/017258 WO2004111770A2 (en) 2003-06-03 2004-06-01 Systems, methods and computer program products for modeling uncertain future benefits

Country Status (5)

Country Link
US (3) US20040249642A1 (en)
EP (1) EP1636667A4 (en)
JP (1) JP2007526529A (en)
CN (1) CN101410859A (en)
WO (1) WO2004111770A2 (en)

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Also Published As

Publication number Publication date
EP1636667A4 (en) 2010-07-07
EP1636667A2 (en) 2006-03-22
US20050273415A1 (en) 2005-12-08
US20120245977A1 (en) 2012-09-27
US7725376B2 (en) 2010-05-25
WO2004111770A2 (en) 2004-12-23
CN101410859A (en) 2009-04-15
JP2007526529A (en) 2007-09-13
US20040249642A1 (en) 2004-12-09
US8645249B2 (en) 2014-02-04

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